Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Nosso Futebol+


	Botafogo PB		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	2.95	4.33
	1.86	2.95	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3	4.98
	1.86	3	5.16	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.4
	1.8	2.91	5.01	Watch
	1.86	2.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)	2.95 ↓ (3.35)	4.7 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
49.5%

Draw
31%

ABC
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Botafogo PB - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). ABC will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo PB will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 19. Denilson 18. Evandro 17. Gabriel Honorio 26. JP Iseppe 2. Lucas Lopes 34. Marcelo Augusto 7. Rafinha 3. Renie (C) 11. Rodrigo Alves 20. Thallyson	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 18. Carlos Eduardo 20. Jonatha Carlos 2. Lucas Mota 6. Lucas Sampaio 19. Orlando Junior 11. Wallyson 14. Wellington Reis 15. Windson
Substitutes
23. Amorim 10. Camilo 22. Erick 5. Gama 12. Guilherme Castellani (G) 30. Guilherme Santos 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 28. Luis Miguel 6. Sidcley 21. Silvinho 4. Wendel Lomar	10. Anderson Rosa 17. Bruno Leite 23. Danilo Alves 21. Ian 9. Joaozinho 25. Juninho 5. Lucas Goncalves 7. Matheus Martins 26. Matheus Rocha 16. Octavio 12. Pedro Paulo (G) 3. Wendel
Coaches
Zago A. C.	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thallyson ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
46', Lucas Lopes ↓, Erick ↑,
59', Bruno Bispo 🟨,
61', Rafinha ↓, Silvinho ↑,
63', 🟨,
65', Orlando Junior ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
65', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Anderson Rosa ↑,
65', Jonatha Carlos ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
65', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
71', Lucas Sampaio ↓, Wendel ↑,
73', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
75', Silvinho 🟨,
77', JP Iseppe 🟨,
81', Wallyson ↓, Danilo Alves ↑,
84', Michael 🟥,
90', Guilherme Santos 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Botafogo PB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 1.3:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
19.04.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.03.25	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Botafogo PB - Treze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLT
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie C
21.04.25	ABC - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	São Bernardo - ABC	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.04.25	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
29.03.25	ABC - América RN	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	América RN - ABC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.12.24	ABC - Botafogo PB	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
21.07.24	Botafogo PB - ABC	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.02.24	ABC - Botafogo PB	0:0
Club Friendly
28.12.22	ABC - Botafogo PB	2:1
23.12.22	Botafogo PB - ABC	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
04.06.22	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0
Club Friendly
29.12.19	ABC - Botafogo PB	2:1

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