Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.87	2.65
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.76	2.91	2.87
	2.76	2.83	2.87
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.52	2.98	2.67	Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.37)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	2.71 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
34.8%

Draw
31.5%

Athletic Club
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Botafogo PB - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 11. Dudu 8. Edmundo 32. Evandro 25. Gustavo Poffo 19. Joaozinho 2. Lenon (C) 9. Pipico 14. Renie 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	1. Glauco (G) 5. Caldeira R. 3. Danilo Cardoso (C) 10. David Braga 8. Djalma 4. Edson Miranda 17. Nathan 9. Neto Costa 11. Villero P. 7. Welinton Torrao 2. Ynaia
Substitutes
12. Caio (G) 3. Douglas 22. Erick 17. Gabriel Lima 15. Gama 29. Jo 33. Lucas Balardin 5. Lucas Goncalves 27. Paulinho 6. Rafael Furlan 16. Warley 7. Will	16. Bruno Gomes 20. Denilson 13. Douglas Pele 18. Geovane 12. Jefferson Luis (G) 19. Lucas Mineiro 14. Marcelo Sousa 15. Rafael Conceicao 6. Yuri
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Neto Costa 🟨,
45+3', Lenon (Pen),
45+3', 1 - 0, Lenon ⚽,
45+6', Joaozinho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gustavo Poffo ↓, Gama ↑,
46', Joaozinho ↓, Jo ↑,
62', Caldeira R. ↓, Denilson ↑,
62', Nathan ↓, Douglas Pele ↑,
65', Dudu ↓, Warley ↑,
71', Welinton Torrao ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Jo ⚽,
76', Pipico 🟨,
76', Danilo Cardoso ↓, Marcelo Sousa ↑,
76', David Braga ↓, Geovane ↑,
77', Pipico ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
82', Evandro 🟨,
85', 3 - 0, Edmundo ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Denilson ⚽,
88', Edmundo ↓, Lucas Goncalves ↑,
90+2', Gabriel Lima 🟨,
90+5', Djalma 🟥,
90+5', Warley 🟥,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:3 ✺
05.05.24	Botafogo PB - Remo	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Botafogo PB - Caxias	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Floresta - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWTW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
20.05.24	Athletic Club - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	CS Alagoano - Athletic Club	0:5 ✺
05.05.24	Athletic Club - ABC	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Caxias - Athletic Club	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

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