Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - SECOND STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Botafogo PB		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	3	Watch
	2.39	2.89	3.33
	2.1	2.75	3.4
	2.29	2.93	3.1	Watch
	2.34	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.01)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
39.6%

Draw
31.8%

Paysandu
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

29.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo PB's form might have worsened.

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo PB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Botafogo PB - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Mota (C) 8. Dias W. 34. Lucas Santos 28. Luisinho 7. Mateus Anderson 35. Netinho 9. Pipico 10. Renatinho 22. Ricardo Luz 3. Wesley Matos 6. Ze Mario	13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 28. Alencar 2. Edilson 16. Joao Vieira 36. Kevyn Lucas 9. Mario Sergio 30. Nicolas Careca 20. Robinho (C) 10. Vinicius Leite 4. Wanderson 3. Wellington Carvalho
Substitutes
21. Carlos Alexandre 20. Gerson Magrao 36. Giva 29. Goncalves R. 1. Gustavo Silva (G) 2. Lucas Mendes 19. Marco Antonio 18. Mariotto 30. Natan Costa 23. Rogerinho 33. Tenorio 27. Vitinho	5. Anilson 21. Arthur Santos 11. Bruno Alves 6. Eltinho 12. Geovane 22. Jacy 14. Juninho 15. Mendes R. 31. Naylhor 37. Roger 1. Thiago Coelho (G)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 2.

Botafogo PB is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo PB will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
17.09.23	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Botafogo PB - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
17.09.23	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Amazonas - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Confiança - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Paysandu - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
17.09.23	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	1:0
27.06.23	Botafogo PB - Paysandu	3:2
12.06.22	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	2:1
31.10.21	Botafogo PB - Paysandu	1:0
11.10.21	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	0:0
08.08.21	Botafogo PB - Paysandu	2:1
07.06.21	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	0:2

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