Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3	3.75
	2.01	2.95	3.8	Watch
	2.22	2.96	3.96
	2.11	2.89	4.07
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	2.1	3.08	3.7	Watch
	2.01	2.95	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.93 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
45.6%

Draw
30.9%

Retrô Brasil
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 19. Denilson 5. Gama 9. Henrique Dourado 28. Lucas Balardin 2. Lucas Lopes 3. Renie 11. Rodrigo Alves 21. Silvinho 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 25. Eduardo 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 11. Junior Fialho 26. Ly I. 9. Mascote 13. Mike 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 19. Rayne Assis
Substitutes
23. Amorim 10. Camilo 16. Diego Ferreira 22. Erick 8. Igor Maduro 26. JP Iseppe 29. Kaue Canela 17. Kawan Gabriel 25. Luis Miguel 15. Natham 12. Wallace (G)	21. Bruno Peres 3. Claudinho 17. Diego Guerra 7. Fabinho 18. Franco R. 2. Gedeilson 27. Jonas 28. Lucas Grafite 30. Maycon Douglas 16. Natan 1. Paulo Gianezini (G) 15. Walce
Coaches
Marcio Fernandes	Mendes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
19', Junior Fialho 🟨,
30', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
31', Rayan Ribeiro 🟨,
35', Henrique Dourado ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
37', Rayne Assis 🟨,
40', Thallyson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mike ↓, Maycon Douglas ↑,
46', Ly I. ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
46', Rayan Ribeiro ↓, Claudinho ↑,
47', Igor Maduro 🟨,
47', 🟨,
60', Silvinho ↓, Kawan Gabriel ↑,
60', Lucas Lopes ↓, Diego Ferreira ↑,
61', Eduardo ↓, Bruno Peres ↑,
68', Claudinho 🟨,
69', Rayne Assis ↓, Walce ↑,
73', Lucas Balardin ↓, Erick ↑,
74', Denilson ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
79', Bruno Peres 🟨,
80', Luis Miguel 🟨,
82', Kawan Gabriel 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 12).

Botafogo PB has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Retrô's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Botafogo PB is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo PB won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo PB	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Maringá - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Botafogo PB - Floresta	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Guarani - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Botafogo PB - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL
- Retrô Brasil
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Caxias - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.12.24	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	0:0
30.12.23	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.01.23	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 penalties

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