Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	Botafogo PB		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	15	6	1.2
	11.5	5.5	1.21
	15	5.8	1.2
	19.05	5.6	1.2
	16.36	5.06	1.24	Watch
	13	5	1.25
	14.6	5.55	1.23
	15	5.8	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.94 ↑ (7.95)	5.54 ↑ (4.51)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
6.3%

Draw
16.9%

Flamengo
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

20.5%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

19.9%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo PB's form might have worsened.

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Botafogo PB - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 3. Renie 34. Marcelo Augusto 18. Evandro 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 17. Gabriel Honorio 9. Henrique Dourado 11. Rodrigo Alves 22. Erick 26. JP Iseppe	25. Matheus Cunha (G) 2. Varela G. 61. Joao Victor 13. Danilo 6. Ayrton Lucas 52. Evertton Araujo 29. Allan 7. Luiz Araujo 50. Plata G. 27. Bruno Henrique (C) 30. Michael
Substitutes
23. Amorim 10. Camilo 19. Denilson 27. Diego Ferreira 8. Igor Maduro 7. Rafinha 6. Sidcley 21. Silvinho 20. Thallyson 12. Wallace (G) 4. Wendel Lomar	33. Cleiton 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 8. Gerson 79. Joshua 23. Juninho 58. Leo Nannetti (G) 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 20. Matheus Goncalves 5. Pulgar E. 43. Wesley Franca
Coaches
Zago A. C.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Michael ↓, Juninho ↑,
63', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Denilson ↑,
64', Henrique Dourado ↓, Silvinho ↑,
67', Marcelo Augusto 🟨,
70', Allan 🟨,
72', Luiz Araujo ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
72', Evertton Araujo ↓, Gerson ↑,
73', Bruno Henrique ↓, Everton ↑,
73', Guilherme Santos ↓, Camilo ↑,
79', Plata G. ↓, Joshua ↑,
79', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Rafinha ↑,
79', JP Iseppe ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Joshua ⚽,

Preview

1st leg./

In recent matches, Botafogo PB has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flamengo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo PB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.03.25	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWTL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Flamengo - Corinthians	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	LDU Quito - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Flamengo - Juventude	6:0 ✺
13.04.25	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTWW

Upcoming Matches