Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 15

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Botafogo PB		Manaus

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.59	3.53	6.63
	1.53	3.25	5.8
	1.55	3.65	6	Watch
	1.6	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.75)	3.46 ↑ (3.21)	5.82 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
58%

Draw
26.3%

Manaus
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

26.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manaus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Botafogo PB - Manaus Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Manaus will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo PB: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo Silva (G) 17. Bismark 8. Dias W. 18. Mariotto 7. Mateus Anderson 35. Netinho 25. Pedro Carrerette 10. Renatinho 22. Ricardo Luz 3. Wesley Matos (C) 6. Ze Mario	1. Andrey (G) 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 7. Capa 5. Felipe Baiano 10. Gabriel Lima 8. Gama 11. Klenisson 9. Lucas Batatinha 2. Lucas Carvalho 3. Luis Fernando 6. Renan Luis
Substitutes
28. Carlos Alexandre 12. de Oliveira W. G. (G) 5. Djavan 31. Edilson (G) 20. Gerson Magrao 11. Jailson 2. Lucas Mendes 34. Lucas Santos 19. Marco Antonio 26. Tata 33. Tenorio 27. Vitinho	21. Franklin 20. Gabriel Correia 15. Gabriel Tonini 18. Henan 19. Jean Carlo 12. Joao Guilherme (G) 14. Nilo 16. Thallyson 17. Thiaguinho

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Botafogo PB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Manaus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
23.07.23	Altos - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Botafogo PB - Aparecidense	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
27.06.23	Botafogo PB - Paysandu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
23.07.23	Manaus - Brusque	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Manaus - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	América RN - Manaus	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Aparecidense - Manaus	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Manaus - Confiança	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.07.22	Manaus - Botafogo PB	0:0
12.09.21	Manaus - Botafogo PB	0:0
10.07.21	Botafogo PB - Manaus	4:1
19.10.20	Manaus - Botafogo PB	3:2
17.08.20	Botafogo PB - Manaus	0:0

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