The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 43.9%
Draw 31.2%
Paysandu 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
31.4%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
32%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paysandu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Vila Nova - Paysandu Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Halls (G) 2. Elias 4. Tiago Pagnussat 3. Bernardo Schappo 16. Higor 5. Joao Vieira 10. Diego Torres 17. Jean Mota 9. Gabriel Poveda 7. Ruan Ribeiro 96. Labandeira F.
13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 21. Bryan 4. Luan Freitas 3. Quintana Y. 16. Reverson 27. Ramon Martinez 8. Andre Lima 24. Borasi B. 10. Giovanni 9. Benitez J. 20. Marlon Douglas
Substitutes
20. Bruno Mendes 11. Dodo 19. Gabriel Silva 6. Igor Inocencio 22. Miticov 15. Paulinho 8. Ralf 14. Walisson Maia 13. Weverton 1. Zorzenoni V. H. (G)
32. Cavalleri M. 17. Delvalle P. 15. Dudu Vieira 2. Edilson 31. Iago Hass (G) 30. Marcelinho 96. Matheus Vargas 5. Novillo J. 94. Patric Calmon
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Luan Freitas 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽,
14', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
42', Walisson Maia 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Borasi B. ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
46', Giovanni ↓, Dudu Vieira ↑,
59', Reverson ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
60', Bryan ↓, Edilson ↑,
61', Diego Torres ↓, Dodo ↑,
62', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
72', Quintana Y. 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
75', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
75', Labandeira F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.
Recent matches Vila Nova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Paysandu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn
(Knee Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.3:1.2).
Brazil
World
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Halls (G) 
Diego Torres 
Labandeira F. 
Ramon Martinez 
Cavalleri M. 
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