Match Info

BRAZIL: CARIOCA - TACA GUANABARA - ROUND 6

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)


	Botafogo RJ		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	7.5
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.09	8.4
	1.35	4.56	9.22
	1.39	4.3	7.85
	1.39	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.48)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)	7.95 ↑ (6.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
66.6%

Draw
21.8%

Nova Iguaçu
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

24.5%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

23.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. John Victor (G) 6. Tche Tche 3. Lucas Halter 15. Bastos 16. Hugo 5. Danilo Barbosa 17. Marlon Freitas 33. Carlos Eduardo 9. Tiquinho Soares (C) 11. Junior Santos 7. Victor Sa	1. Fabricio Santana (G) 4. Cayo Tenorio 2. Gabriel Pinheiro (C) 6. Sergio Raphael 3. Maicon 5. Fernandinho 8. Albert 7. Xandinho 11. Yago Ferreira 9. Carlinhos 10. Bill
Substitutes
77. Diego Hernandez 18. Emerson Urso 1. Fernandez R. (G) 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 39. Janderson 38. Jefferson Maciel 47. Jeffinho 25. Kaue 62. Kayque 90. Matheus Nascimento 28. Newton 75. Rai	12. Caio Borges (G) 22. Emerson Carioca 13. Italo Silva 17. Joao Victor 20. Lucas Campos 19. Lucas Cruz 21. Marllon 23. Matheus Alves 18. Max 16. Ronald 15. Sidney Pages 14. Yan Silva
Coaches
Tiago Nunes	Carlos Vitor

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Nova Iguaçu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Botafogo have a series of home games.

In this match Botafogo is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Madureira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLWW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
31.01.24	Nova Iguaçu - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu	3:0 ✺
24.01.24	Bangu - Nova Iguaçu	2:3 ✺
21.01.24	Nova Iguaçu - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
18.01.24	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.02.23	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:0
07.02.22	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	2:0
09.05.21	Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ	0:1
02.05.21	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:0
28.03.21	Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ	1:2
22.02.18	Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ	1:2
28.01.17	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	1:1

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