Match Info

BRAZIL: CARIOCA - TACA RIO - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Botafogo RJ		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.31	5.09	9.4
	1.32	5.1	7.73
	1.32	4.85	8.75
	1.32	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	4.93 ↓ (5)	8.4 ↑ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
70.2%

Draw
18.8%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

18.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8%

17.2%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez R. (C) 22. Suarez D. 3. Lucas Halter 15. Bastos 16. Hugo 25. Kaue 5. Danilo Barbosa 6. Tche Tche 77. Diego Hernandez 39. Janderson 18. Emerson Urso	1. Leandro Matheus (G) 2. Lucas Carvalho 3. Indio 4. Eduardo Thuram 6. Guilherme 5. Rodrigo Dantas 8. Marcelo (C) 10. Gabriel Agu 7. Cruz Manhaes O. 11. Rafael Pernao 9. Abner
Substitutes
67. Augusto Y. F. 14. Breno 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 11. Junior Santos 54. Kawan 21. Marcal 17. Marlon Freitas 90. Matheus Nascimento 2. Rafael 75. Rai 10. Savarino J.	20. Davi Santos 12. Diogo (G) 18. Eduardo Rosado 15. Elenilson 21. Gustavo Tonoli 31. Igor 17. Josiel 14. Pablo 16. Paulo Vitor 13. Roberto 22. Ryan Silva
Coaches
Matias F.	Sampaio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Marcelo 🟨,
22', Cruz Manhaes O. ⚽,
37', Gabriel Agu 🟨,
41', Emerson Urso ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
42', Diego Hernandez ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
45+2', Cruz Manhaes O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kaue ↓, Marlon Freitas ↑,
55', Abner 🟨,
56', Abner ↓, Gustavo Tonoli ↑,
68', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Davi Santos ↑,
69', Rodrigo Dantas ↓, Josiel ↑,
70', Lucas Halter ↓, Rai ↑,
80', Junior Santos (Pen),
81', Diogo 🟥,
84', Janderson 🟨,
88', Tche Tche ↓, Breno ↑,
90+2', Rafael Pernao ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
90+7', Savarino J. ⚽,
90+8', Josiel 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Botafogo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa FE is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampaio Corrêa FE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botafogo to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Copa Libertadores
13.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
10.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.03.24	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.03.24	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	2:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.02.24	Botafogo RJ - Aurora	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWWW
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
10.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Audax Rio - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:4 ✺
25.02.24	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	3:2 ✺
20.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
10.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	1:2
27.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0

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