Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Botafogo RJ		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.75
	1.7	3.5	4.25	Watch
	1.64	3.45	5.2
	1.69	3.74	5.64
	1.7	3.4	4.8
	1.69	3.55	5.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.86)	3.54 ↑ (3.28)	5.01 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
55.2%

Draw
26.2%

Náutico Capibaribe
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ's performance.

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Botafogo RJ - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 8).

Botafogo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Náutico is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo is a favorite.

Recent matches Náutico is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 7 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
11.09.21	Botafogo RJ - Londrina	4:0 ✺
04.09.21	Remo - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
27.08.21	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
22.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Vila Nova	3:2 ✺
18.08.21	Guarani - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.21	Vila Nova - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Guarani	1:1 ✺
29.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
24.08.21	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
17.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.06.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo RJ	3:1
Copa do Brasil
19.02.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo RJ	1:2 penalties
Brazilian Serie B
24.10.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo RJ	1:4
18.07.15	Botafogo RJ - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
09.10.13	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo RJ	1:3
20.07.13	Botafogo RJ - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
09.09.12	Botafogo RJ - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1

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