Match Info

Date: 18 August 2021, Wednesday


	Guarani		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.9
	2.43	2.8	2.95	Watch
	2.55	2.8	2.9
	2.74	2.99	3
	2.55	2.8	2.9
	2.52	3.13	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	2.93 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
36.5%

Draw
31.8%

Botafogo RJ
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

20.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guarani - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent matches Guarani is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Botafogo have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
13.08.21	Goiás - Guarani	2:1 ✺
10.08.21	Avaí - Guarani	0:1 ✺
06.08.21	Guarani - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
31.07.21	Guarani - Vila Nova	1:4 ✺
24.07.21	Vasco da Gama - Guarani	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
15.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
12.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
31.07.21	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
27.07.21	Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

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