Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Coritiba		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.57	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.60
	2.55	3.4	2.52
	2.63	3.43	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.47	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.7)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
36.3%

Draw
27.5%

Botafogo RJ
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Coritiba - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:29 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Coritiba against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37:43	-6	38
13	Botafogo RJ	28	9	8	11	41:45	-4	35

Last Results with these Odds

Coritiba - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.05%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	Vasco da Gama - Coritiba	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	3:3 ✺
06.09.26	Coritiba - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Remo - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Coritiba - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	Mirassol - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:2
29.11.23	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	1:1
30.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	4:1
17.09.22	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:0
29.05.22	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
27.08.21	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	0:1
05.06.21	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	2:0

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