Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: de Lima M. (Bra)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.91	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.9
	4	3.2	1.9
	3.93	3.37	1.94
	3.8	3	2
	3.9	3.32	1.93
	3.85	3.25	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.22)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
23.6%

Draw
28.6%

Cruzeiro
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

28%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

29.1%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cruzeiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Náutico won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
05.04.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro	1:2 penalties ✺
01.04.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.23	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
22.03.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.03.23	Maguary - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Cruzeiro MG
Club Friendly
29.03.23	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.03.23	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Cruzeiro - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
23.02.23	Caldense - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.08.22	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	4:0
15.05.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	0:1
25.11.21	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
17.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	0:1
24.01.21	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
25.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
06.10.13	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	1:4

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