Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 8

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz


	Red Bull Bragantino		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	1.88	3.45	3.95
	1.95	3.54	4.36
	1.89	3.48	4.32	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	2	3.49	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.11)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	4.1 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
49.5%

Draw
27.5%

Botafogo RJ
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.4%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado A. 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 35. Matheus Fernandes 6. Gabriel 21. Lucas Barbosa 20. Rodriguinho 30. Mosquera H. 8. Eduardo Sasha	1. Raul Steffens (G) 4. Ponte M. 5. Ferraresi N. 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 8. Danilo 10. Montoro A. 23. Rodriguez S. 11. Matheus Martins 17. Junior Santos 30. Correa J.
Substitutes
51. Caue Nascimento 27. Davi Gomes 3. Eduardo Santos 5. Fabinho 22. Gustavo Neves 32. Herrera J. 14. Pedro Henrique 9. Pitta I. 15. Sosa I. 52. Tavares R. 18. Tiago Volpi (G) 17. Vinicinho	25. Allan 19. Arthur Cabral 7. Artur 14. Barrera J. 45. Caio Valle 88. Edenilson 34. Justino G. 24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Marcal 16. Nathan Fernandes 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 2. Vitinho
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Alex Telles (Penalty Awarded),
15', 1 - 1, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
36', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
38', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alex Telles ↓, Vitinho ↑,
46', Junior Santos ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
56', Rodriguinho ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
60', Rodriguez S. ↓, Allan ↑,
68', Mosquera H. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
68', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
71', Ferraresi N. ↓, Justino G. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Barboza A. ⚽, Danilo (A),
74', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
80', Gabriel ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
80', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
84', Matheus Martins 🟨,
84', Matheus Martins ↓, Edenilson ↑,
90+1', Edenilson 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio (Inactive) Fernando Santos (Inactive) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Inactive) Vanderlan (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo: Kaio Pantaleao (Inactive) Medina C. (Red Card) Ramos C. (Knock)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bragantino	29	10	7	12	34:33	1	37
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.69%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
21.02.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
30.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	4:1
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	0:1
29.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:0
26.10.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	0:1
26.06.24	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1
Copa Libertadores
13.03.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:1

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