The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo RJ 38.9%
Draw 27.6%
Red Bull Bragantino 33.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
28.2%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
27.9%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Botafogo (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Batista (G) 2. Vitinho 5. Ferraresi N. 33. Monzon L. 13. Alex Telles (C) 75. Huguinho 8. Danilo Santos 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 10. Montoro A. 7. Junior Santos 90. Danilo Pereira
18. Tiago Volpi (C) 23. Sant'Anna A. 16. Gustavo Marques 2. Rodriguez G. 29. Juninho Capixaba 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 47. Wallace Yan 21. Lucas Barbosa 11. Fernando Santos 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
25. Allan 91. Andrade D. 3. Arthur Chaves 37. Barria K. 88. Edenilson 79. Jales do Nascimento L. E. 42. Kadu Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 29. Paulinho 4. Ponte M. 9. Tiquinho Soares 17. Warleson (G)
19. Bruninho 51. Caue Nascimento 1. Cleiton (G) 3. Eduardo Santos 6. Gabriel 32. Herrera J. 34. Hurtado A. 57. Marcelinho 35. Matheus Fernandes 30. Mosquera H. 15. Sosa I. 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Dias Bellao R.
Vagner Mancini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Monzon L. (Own goal),
44', Wallace Yan 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Villalba Jaume L. M. ↓, Barria K. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
60', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
60', Pitta I. ↓, Eduardo Santos ↑,
65', Monzon L. 🟨,
67', Alex Telles ↓, Paulinho ↑,
70', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
73', Barria K. 🟨,
74', Tiago Volpi 🟨,
75', Junior Santos ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
75', Danilo Pereira ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
78', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
81', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
82', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
87', Fabinho ↓, Gabriel ↑,
87', Eric Ramires ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4.
Botafogo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
RB Bragantino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Botafogo: Arthur Cabral
(Yellow Cards)
Barrera J.
(Injury)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Injury)
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Sasha
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Bragantino
31
11
8
12
39:36
3
41
11
Botafogo RJ
31
10
9
12
44:48
-4
39
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Red Bull Bragantino - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Ecuador
Kosovo
Mexico
North-macedonia
Portugal
Serbia
Usa
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Gabriel Batista (G) 
Ferraresi N. 
Monzon L. 
Montoro A. 
Pitta I. 
Andrade D. 
Barria K. 
Hurtado A. 
Mosquera H. 
