Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 6

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Botafogo RJ U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.65	3.5	2.29
	2.96	3.55	2.25
	2.82	3.58	2.2	Watch
	2.83	3.44	2.2
	2.65	3.5	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.32)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.28 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ U20
33.6%

Draw
26.3%

São Paulo U20
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ U20's form might have worsened.

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Botafogo RJ U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo U20 won 2.

Botafogo U20 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Paulo U20 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Botafogo U20 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1.3:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo U20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
12.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Artsul U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Palmeiras U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
05.04.25	Maricá U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
01.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Corinthians U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
29.03.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Americano RJ U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTW
- São Paulo U20
Brasileiro U20
07.04.25	São Paulo U20 - Corinthians U20	3:2 ✺
02.04.25	Fortaleza U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	2:4 ✺
19.03.25	São Paulo U20 - Atletico GO U20	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Grêmio U20 - São Paulo U20	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
17.04.24	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:3
02.07.22	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0
20.09.21	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:3
10.10.20	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:1
28.08.19	Botafogo RJ U20 - São Paulo U20	1:4
05.07.18	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0

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