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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 42.4%
Draw 31.9%
Botafogo SP 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
34%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
33.7%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Vila Nova - Botafogo SP Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(17 of 17 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus (C) 16. Higor 15. Dudu 8. Joao Vieira 11. Ryan 31. Dodo 99. Janderson 7. Andre Luis
1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 4. Vilar 13. Wallace 6. Patrick Brey (C) 16. Matheus Sales 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor
Substitutes
23. Bruno Xavier 29. Dalberson (G) 18. Enzo Bizzotto 9. Gustavo Puskas 22. Hayner 21. Henrique Soares L. 70. Kerlon 4. Samuel Lucas 13. Willian Formiga
18. Arthur Caike 3. Ericson 34. Erik Rebello 26. Felipe Vieira 33. Hebert 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 19. Marcio Maranhao 31. Pedro Henrique 29. Thiago Moraes
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Claudio Tencati
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Andre Luis ⚽, Janderson (A),
32', Patrick Brey 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Andre Luis 🟨,
56', Andre Luis ↓, Gustavo Puskas ↑,
61', Rafael Gava ↓, Felipe Vieira ↑,
61', Kelvin ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
74', Hygor ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
74', Ze Hugo ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
75', Janderson ↓, Hayner ↑,
75', Higor ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
87', Helton Leite ↓, Dalberson ↑,
87', Willian Formiga ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
90', Felipe Vieira 🟨,
90+2', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Thiago Moraes ↑,
90+3', Matheus Sales ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
90+8', Thiago Moraes 🟨,
90+13', Wallace 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2.
Recent performances by Vila Nova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Botafogo SP is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vila Nova is the team to beat.
There will not play in Vila Nova: Caio Marcelo
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro Romano
(Red Card)
Rafa Silva
(Knee Injury)
Willian Maranhao
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Injury)
Darlan
(Inactive)
Jonathan
(Inactive)
Leandro Maciel
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Vila Nova: Dellatorre
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Injury)
Joao Vieira
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Vila Nova FC
32
17
7
8
44:31
13
58
16
Botafogo SP
32
10
8
14
36:38
-2
38
Last Results with these Odds
Vila Nova - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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