Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Botafogo SP		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.70	3.30	Watch
	2.37	2.90	2.95
	2.20	2.85	3.75	Watch
	2.53	2.97	3.36
	2.3	2.69	3.78
	2.50	2.75	3.00
	2.59	2.74	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.08)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	3.33 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
38.6%

Draw
33.3%

Operário Ferroviario
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

32.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 4. Vilar 3. Ericson (C) 26. Felipe Vieira 8. Everton Morelli 16. Matheus Sales 30. Ze Hugo 29. Thiago Moraes 18. Arthur Caike 9. Hygor	33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 44. Klaus 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 20. Vinicius Diniz 6. Moraes 92. Pablo
Substitutes
33. Erik Rebello 15. Guilherme Mariano 17. Guilherme Queiroz 34. Hebert 32. Henrique Teles 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 7. Kelvin 31. Pedro Henrique 10. Rafael Gava 23. Wesley Santos 20. Yuri Felipe	18. Andre 99. Caio Dantas 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 80. Favero 7. Felipe Augusto 26. Maguinho 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 4. Pool J. 29. Torres E.
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Matheus Sales 🟨,
21', Thiago Moraes 🟨,
23', Klaus 🟨,
36', Boschilia 🟨,
44', Felipe Vieira 🟨,
45+6', 0 - 1, Boschilia (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thiago Moraes ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
46', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
62', Ze Hugo ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
62', Arthur Caike ↓, Rafael Gava ↑,
62', Matheus Sales ↓, Yuri Felipe ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Hygor ⚽, Wesley Santos (A),
68', Pereira H. ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
75', Maguinho 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Hygor ⚽, Rafael Gava (A),
83', Moraes ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
83', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
83', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
90', Everton Morelli 🟨,
90+3', Hygor ↓, Hebert ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.

Botafogo SP is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Operário PR has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo SP has had a series of away games.

Botafogo SP could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Injury) Darlan (Inactive) Guilherme Queiroz (Inactive) Jonathan (Inactive) Marco Antonio (Inactive) Patrick Brey (Yellow Cards) Wallace (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Operário PR: Aylon (Yellow Cards) Brenno Pereira (Knee Injury) Indio (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Knee Injury) Zuluaga J. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Last Results with these Odds

Operário Ferroviario - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 22.97%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
08.06.26	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Botafogo SP - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Goiás - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
05.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Náutico Capibaribe	2:6 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Fluminense - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.09.25	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
17.05.25	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	3:0
12.10.24	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
22.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	0:1
29.01.21	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	0:1
31.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	0:0
24.09.19	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1

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