Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 16

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Botafogo SP		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.3	2.87	3.2
	2.1	2.92	3.8
	2.22	2.98	3.97
				Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.4
	2.16	2.95	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.36)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	3.67 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
42.7%

Draw
31.8%

Volta Redonda
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 4 - 50%). Volta Redonda (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Volta Redonda (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Volta Redonda (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Volta Redonda (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jeferson 3. Ericson 4. Cadu 6. Risso G. 5. Gabriel Bispo 8. Abdulai S. 10. Maciel L. (C) 7. Jonathan Cafu 9. Carrillo R. 11. Robinho	31. Jean Drosny (G) 13. Jhonny 26. Gabriel Bahia 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 6. Sanchez 20. Pierre 21. Henrique Silva (C) 16. Rai 25. Lucas Tocantins 9. Italo 8. Leo Ceara
Substitutes
19. Alexandre Jesus 14. Alisson Cassiano 18. Dramisino A. 16. Jean Victor 22. Jefferson Nem 12. Joao Carlos (G) 20. Marquinho 15. Matheus Costa 17. Matheus Regis 21. Rafael Milhorim 13. Wallison 23. Wesley Dias	28. Andre Luiz 5. Bruno Barra 14. Chay 29. Heliardo 22. Juninho Monteiro 18. Matheus Costa 23. Matheus Lucas 10. PK 17. Vitinho Lopes 2. Wellington Silva 1. Yago Oliveira (G)
Coaches
Aal A.	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Pierre 🟨,
26', Maciel L. 🟨,
32', Carrillo R. 🟨,
35', Henrique Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Henrique Silva ↓, Bruno Barra ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
46', Maciel L. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
60', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
60', Carrillo R. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
60', Leo Ceara ↓, Vitinho Lopes ↑,
61', Lucas Tocantins ↓, Chay ↑,
66', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
75', Pierre ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
82', Rai ↓, PK ↑,
85', Cadu 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 4.

Botafogo SP has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Volta Redonda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Volta Redonda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Botafogo SP could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Fabricio (Inactive) Lucas Adell (Injury) MV (Yellow Cards) Marquinhos (Inactive) Matheus Costa (Inactive) Robinho (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Inactive) Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Matheus Costa (Injury)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Caio Roque (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
06.07.25	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Cuiabá - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWLT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
04.07.25	Coritiba - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Volta Redonda - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Volta Redonda - Avaí	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Goiás - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
25.09.22	Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP	1:2
21.08.22	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	3:1
31.07.22	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	2:1
07.07.18	Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP	1:0
07.05.18	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	2:0
30.07.17	Botafogo SP - Volta Redonda	2:1
29.05.17	Volta Redonda - Botafogo SP	2:0

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