Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 3

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)

Referee: Meira G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Nosso Futebol+
World	Fanatiz


	EC Noroeste		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.35	3.25	3.16
	2.41	3	3.15	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.26	3.26	3.12	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.1 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
40.3%

Draw
29.8%

Botafogo SP
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Noroeste's performance.

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Noroeste will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noroeste: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Felipe Alves (G) 30. Rodolfo Filemon 3. Carlinhos 44. Maycon 2. Cicinho 26. Dudu Miraima 88. Denner 66. Maykon J. 7. Felipe P. 9. de Moura C. 37. Thiago Lopes	1. Joao Carlos (G) 2. Jeferson 4. Allyson 6. Risso G. 8. Dramisino A. 5. Gabriel Bispo 7. Douglas Baggio 3. Alisson Cassiano 10. Maciel L. 9. Pablo Thomaz 11. Jonathan Cafu
Substitutes
22. Araujo R. 17. Deividi Buiu 1. Fernando Henrique (G) 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 99. Jenison 5. Jonatas 55. Leo Costa 11. Luiz Thiago 15. Maia D. 21. Matheus	21. Abdulai S. 19. Alexandre Jesus 12. Brenno Klippel (G) 13. Ericson 15. Jean Mangabeira 16. Jean Victor 23. Joao Costa 17. Jonas Toro 18. Luquinha 22. Pedro Severino 20. Silvinho 14. Wallison
Coaches
Camargo Egert L. M.	Marcio Zanardi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rodolfo Filemon 🟨,
37', Douglas Baggio 🟨,
41', Rodolfo Filemon ↓, Matheus ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Allyson 🟥,
69', Douglas Baggio ↓, Ericson ↑,
81', Dramisino A. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
82', Maciel L. ↓, Jean Mangabeira ↑,
86', Felipe P. ↓, Jenison ↑,
90', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
90', Pablo Thomaz ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
90+3', Thiago Lopes ↓, Luiz Thiago ↑,
90+3', Cicinho ↓, Maia D. ↑,

Preview

Noroeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Noroeste will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Noroeste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.01.25	EC Noroeste - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
13.04.24	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWTLW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.01.25	Botafogo SP - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Guarani - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.11.24	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	1:3 ✺
18.11.24	Botafogo SP - Avaí	1:3 ✺
12.11.24	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.22	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	2:0
12.07.22	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	3:1
27.10.21	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	0:0
24.10.21	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	1:2

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