Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 30 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Hristo Botev Stadium (Vraca)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Montenegro	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Botev Vratsa		Marek Dupnitsa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.26	5.5	9.5
	1.25	5.5	11
	1.27	5.2	10.02
	1.27	5.1	10.03
	1.2	5.8	10
	1.27	5.6	10
	1.24	5.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	5.44 ↑ (4.75)	10.08 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Vratsa
73.9%

Draw
17%

Marek Dupnitsa
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botev Vratsa's performance.

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Botev Vratsa - Marek Dupnitsa Predictions

Users Predictions: Botev Vratsa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Kostov K. (G) 23. Mendoza B. 27. Messi 20. Hristov M. 13. Achkov M. 18. Barbosa D. 24. Smolenski M. 10. Georgiev S. 19. Perea B. (C) 8. Serber K. 9. Genov D.	21. Kostadinov K. (G) 32. Bashliev A. 35. Kavdanski M. 9. Yordanov R. 44. Kaymakanski H. 71. Iliev D. 77. Ivanov M. 19. Dzhadzharov H. 13. Lyubomirov V. 10. Genadiev Ganchev N. 14. Bliznakov A. (C)
Substitutes
34. Barrios F. (G) 28. Eduardo Kunde 5. Ganev P. 17. Ivaylov Ch. 14. Majouga M. 15. Marinov M. 11. N'diaye L. 21. Traore B. 77. Velev S.	2. Dzhartov B. 12. Mladenov P. (G) 55. Nakov S. 5. Stoynev B. 1. Yankov Y. (G) 99. Yordanov Kostov L. 8. Yordanov V. 95. Zlatkov I. A.
Coaches
Yanev H.	Kalpakov T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Dzhadzharov H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Smolenski M. ⚽,
50', Smolenski M. 🟨,
53', Dzhadzharov H. ↓, Yordanov Kostov L. ↑,
57', Yordanov R. 🟨,
70', Yordanov R. ↓, Stoynev B. ↑,
70', Ivanov M. ↓, Yordanov V. ↑,
76', Georgiev S. ↓, Majouga M. ↑,
76', Serber K. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Bliznakov A. ⚽, Genadiev Ganchev N. (A),
84', Bliznakov A. 🟨,
90+4', Lyubomirov V. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
98', Barbosa D. ↓, Velev S. ↑,
105', Achkov M. ↓, N'diaye L. ↑,
110', Lyubomirov V. 🟨,
114', Perea B. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Perea B. (Pen),
1, Bliznakov A. (Pen),
2, N'diaye L. (Pen),
2, Genadiev Ganchev N. (Pen),
3, Genov D. (Pen),
3, Stoynev B. (Pen),
4, Velev S. (Pen),
4, Kaymakanski H. (Pen),
5, Smolenski M. (Pen),

Preview

Botev Vratsa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Marek is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botev Vratsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botev Vratsa is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Botev Vratsa to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.24	Botev Vratsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
21.05.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
13.05.24	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWW
- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.05.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
13.05.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Sportist Svoge - Marek Dupnitsa	3:1 ✺
26.04.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTW

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