Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub


	Marek Dupnitsa		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3	2.45	Watch
	3.85	3.4	1.74
	3.77	3.32	1.75
	4.41	3.57	1.74	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.75)	3.32 ↑ (3)	1.92 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marek Dupnitsa
24.7%

Draw
27.6%

Septemvri Sofia
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

32.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marek Dupnitsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marek Dupnitsa's form might have worsened.

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Dupnitsa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marek Dupnitsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Marek Dupnitsa - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Marek will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mladenov P. (G) 32. Bashliev A. 14. Bliznakov A. (C) 19. Dzhadzharov H. 10. Genadiev Ganchev N. 77. Ivanov M. 35. Kavdanski M. 44. Kaymakanski H. 13. Lyubomirov V. 5. Stoynev B. 99. Yordanov Kostov L.	12. Sheytanov D. (G) 4. Arsov I. 14. Da Sylva J. 15. Dinkov G. 24. Marinov B. 19. Mitkov M. 6. Ochayi V. 18. Onasci K. 10. Ramadan A. 7. Stojanov M. 9. Toshev M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Dzhartov B. 7. Levy B. 55. Nakov S. 33. Vlahov I. 1. Yankov Y. (G) 9. Yordanov R. 8. Yordanov V.	1. Andreev A. (G) 20. Drosev N. G. 23. Gavrilov Y. 17. Georgiev P. 22. Kerkez S. 16. Mihalic J. 11. Mihaylov I. 3. Polendakov M. 13. Yordanov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Marek is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Septemvri Sofia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marek won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Marek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.04.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Ludogorets II - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWT
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Dunav Ruse	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Septemvri Sofia - Bdin Vidin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.10.23	Septemvri Sofia - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0
05.12.21	Septemvri Sofia - Marek Dupnitsa	1:1
31.07.21	Marek Dupnitsa - Septemvri Sofia	2:1

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