Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 13

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bougouba		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	4.25	2.92	1.9	Watch
	4.32	3.02	1.84
	4.39	3.1	1.87	Watch
	4.2	2.75	1.91
	4.35	3.02	1.85	Watch
	4.25	3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.52)	2.97 (2.97)	1.87 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouba
21.1%

Draw
30.5%

Real Bamako
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

30.9%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

30%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Real Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Bamako's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Bougouba - Real Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Real Bamako could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
30.01.26	Diarra - Bougouba	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Bakaridjan - Bougouba	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Mali Coura - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTTWL
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
26.01.26	Afrique Football Elite - Real Bamako	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Real Bamako - Korofina	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Derby Académie - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Real Bamako - Binga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
05.04.25	Real Bamako - Bougouba	3:0
14.12.24	Bougouba - Real Bamako	1:0
12.05.24	Bougouba - Real Bamako	1:2
28.12.23	Real Bamako - Bougouba	2:1
08.06.22	Bougouba - Real Bamako	0:1
21.01.22	Real Bamako - Bougouba	0:2

Bougouba - Real Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide