Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Bastia-Borgo

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.75	10
	1.22	5.4	8.5
	1.24	6.01	12.1
	1.2	5	13
	1.22	5.85	11.75	Watch
	1.21	5.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	5.6 ↑ (4.2)	11.06 ↑ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
75.3%

Draw
16.4%

Bastia-Borgo
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

21.5%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

20.2%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Red Star - Bastia Borgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 3.

Recent matches Red Star is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bastia-Borgo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Red Star is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
17.04.23	Nancy - Red Star	1:4 ✺
07.04.23	Red Star - Concarneau	1:4 ✺
01.04.23	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:0 ✺
28.03.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Red Star	0:1 ✺
24.03.23	Red Star - Orleans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW
- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
14.04.23	Bastia-Borgo - Sedan	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Villefranche - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Bastia-Borgo - Stade Briochin	2:3 ✺
24.03.23	Châteauroux - Bastia-Borgo	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.12.22	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	0:4
04.03.22	Red Star - Bastia-Borgo	5:2
24.09.21	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	2:2
10.05.21	Red Star - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
08.01.21	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	3:1
18.10.19	Bastia-Borgo - Red Star	0:1

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