Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Verchere (Bourg-en-Bresse)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bourg-Péronnas		Bastia

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.20	2.05
	3.1	3.15	2.15
	3.27	3.35	2.3
	3.03	3.33	2.16
	3.2	3.15	2.25
	3.15	3.08	2.19
	3.1	3.15	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	2.18 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
29.3%

Draw
28.7%

Bastia
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.8%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Bourg Péronnas - Bastia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montfort L. (G) 4. Dihad A. 27. Muro R. 29. Dede-Lhomme N. 18. Kanoute Y. 15. Ehling T. 26. Groune A. 23. El Hajjami M. 8. Frayssinous T. 28. Gharbi A. 22. Gomes T. (C)	1. De Percin T. (G) 35. Douce N. 13. Melieres C. 20. Akueson G. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 22. Monnier I. 12. Belal L. 17. Eickmayer J. 23. Garnier E. 9. Tomi F. 10. Zaouai A.
Substitutes
11. Abraou Y. 21. Alberto E. 12. Coelho G. 10. El Wakil M. 14. Krizoua A. 9. Mendes I. 40. Popp P. (G)	21. Bathily Y. 16. Contena S. (G) 34. Djedje D. 3. Makalou H. 28. Petrignani M. 7. Rodrigues C. 2. Zilliox N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Zaouai A. ⚽, Roncaglia A. (A),
38', Muro R. 🟨,
43', Garnier E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ehling T. ↓, Abraou Y. ↑,
46', Zaouai A. ↓, Rodrigues C. ↑,
58', Garnier E. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
63', Belal L. ↓, Djedje D. ↑,
67', Melieres C. 🟨,
69', Dihad A. ↓, Mendes I. ↑,
70', Frayssinous T. ↓, Alberto E. ↑,
70', Kanoute Y. ↓, Coelho G. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Bourg-Péronnas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bastia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bourg-Péronnas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bastia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bourg-Péronnas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Bourg-Péronnas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
17	Bourg en Bresse	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
05.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 3
05.09.26	Bastia - Amiens	0:3 ✺
27.08.26	Caen - Bastia	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Bastia - Versailles	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Aubagne - Bastia	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Bastia - Le Puy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.02.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Bastia	1:3
11.09.20	Bastia - Bourg-Péronnas	3:1

Bourg-Péronnas - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide