Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)


	Boyacá Chicó		Atlético Cali

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	9.5	Watch
	1.34	4.45	8.2	Watch
	1.34	4.75	10.96
	1.3	4.2	9.5
	1.34	4.53	9.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.59)	4.49 ↑ (3.78)	9.55 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
69.6%

Draw
20.6%

Atlético Cali
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.2%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boyacá Chicó's performance.

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boyacá Chicó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: Boyacá Chicó will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Molina J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Montano I. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Montano I. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Molina J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 5.

Recent performances by Boyacá Chicó have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Cali has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boyacá Chicó is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Copa
06.05.26	Patriotas - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Boyacá Chicó - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 ✺
22.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLW
- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Copa
11.05.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Atlético Cali - Unión Magdalena	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Atlético Cali - Envigado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
02.09.22	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	1:0
03.05.22	Atlético Cali - Boyacá Chicó	0:2
14.09.21	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	1:0
14.10.19	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	2:0
04.05.19	Atlético Cali - Boyacá Chicó	1:2
02.10.17	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Cali	0:1
29.04.17	Atlético Cali - Boyacá Chicó	1:2

Upcoming Matches