Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Independiente Medellín		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.37	4.7	7.9	Watch
	1.4	4.9	7.81
	1.39	4.86	7.33	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.39	4.65	7.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)	4.71 ↓ (5.06)	7.38 ↓ (9.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
67.4%

Draw
19.9%

Boyacá Chicó
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

18.4%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

13.9%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 5. Escorcia L. 33. Londono D. 18. Fabra F. 13. Chaverra F. 16. Loboa H. 8. Serna A. 11. Yony Gonzalez 10. Catano D. 19. Fydriszewski F. (C)	23. Denis D. (G) 29. Ruiz D. 6. Aedo A. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 8. Salazar S. 28. Diaz J. 16. Mera S. 9. Molina J. (C) 25. Palma J.
Substitutes
2. Chaverra L. 20. Montano J. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 14. Perlaza B. 12. Romero S. (G) 15. Segura N. 45. Valdelamar A.	17. Caicedo O. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 22. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 13. Martinez Y. 7. Montano I. 2. Saldana A. 20. Valencia N.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Escorcia L. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Aedo A. (Own goal),
30', Ruiz D. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
31', 2 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Fabra F. (A),
34', Palma J. 🟨,
41', Londono D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
46', Escorcia L. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
50', Banguero A. 🟨,
59', Chaverra F. 🟨,
68', Chaverra F. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
84', Catano D. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
84', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
89', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Segura N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind Medellín is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 1.8:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	10:18	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Flamengo - Independiente Medellín	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTT
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
17.04.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	5:0 ✺
02.04.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:0
02.02.25	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	3:0
Colombian Copa
25.10.24	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 penalties
21.10.24	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	1:4
Colombian Primera A
31.07.24	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	1:0
14.02.24	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	3:0
28.08.23	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	1:1

Upcoming Matches