Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.8	8.5
	1.25	4.9	9.5
	1.24	5.46	11.9
	1.32	4.33	9
	1.29	5.05	10.25
	1.26	4.9	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	4.91 ↑ (4.4)	9.83 ↑ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
72%

Draw
18.7%

Bradford Park Avenue
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.8%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

19.2%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

The chances for Bradford Park Avenue have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Brackley Town - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 5.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bradford Park Avenue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brackley is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Brackley won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 36-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
14.02.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Brackley Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Peterborough Sports - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
31.01.23	Scarborough Athletic - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLTW
- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
11.02.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Leamington	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	5:1 ✺
31.01.23	King`s Lynn Town - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	1:2
26.02.22	Brackley Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:0
04.12.21	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	0:3
18.01.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	1:2
28.09.19	Brackley Town - Bradford Park Avenue	8:0
26.01.19	Brackley Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:0
04.08.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	1:0

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