Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 30

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Chorley

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.71
	4	3.3	1.79
	3.95	3.55	1.77
	4.59	3.47	1.75
	3.9	3.3	1.83
	4.45	3.64	1.74
	4	3.65	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.15)	3.49 ↑ (3.2)	1.76 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
22.1%

Draw
26.1%

Chorley
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.1%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford Park Avenue's form might have worsened.

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chorley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bradford PA will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chorley will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bradford Park Avenue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chorley is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 3 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
21.01.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Spennymoor Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.23	Farsley - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Farsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTT
- Chorley
English National League North
14.01.23	Chorley - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
10.01.23	Buxton - Chorley	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Darlington - Chorley	0:3 ✺
01.01.23	Chorley - Fylde	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Fylde - Chorley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
27.08.22	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0
09.04.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0
02.10.21	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1
31.10.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0
27.04.19	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	3:2
27.10.18	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	1:0
02.04.18	Chorley - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0

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