Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 19

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Brackley Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.51	3.8	5.25
	1.53	4	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.16	6.15
	1.52	4.16	6.15
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.49	4.1	6
	1.47	4.1	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	5.77 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
61.4%

Draw
22.7%

Gloucester City
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brackley Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Brackley Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 5.

Recent matches Brackley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gloucester is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gloucester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Brackley won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
11.11.23	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1 ✺
07.11.23	Hereford - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Brackley Town - South Shields	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Brackley Town - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
11.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gloucester City - Warrington Town	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Tamworth - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.05.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	3:2 penalties
28.01.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	4:0
27.08.22	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	0:1
05.02.22	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	0:1
30.10.21	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	1:0
28.12.20	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	3:2
26.08.19	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	3:0

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