Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 31

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Bradford Park Avenue

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.98	3.25	3.35
	1.79	3.6	3.5
	2.07	3.23	3.58
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.04	3.42	3.42
	2.07	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.75)	3.31 ↓ (3.66)	3.37 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
45.5%

Draw
27.5%

Bradford Park Avenue
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester City's form might have worsened.

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2.

Recent matches Gloucester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bradford Park Avenue is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bradford Park Avenue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gloucester will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
28.01.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	4:0 ✺
21.01.23	Gloucester City - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
14.01.23	Gloucester City - Hereford	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Boston United - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
01.01.23	Gloucester City - Leamington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTT
- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
31.01.23	King`s Lynn Town - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Chorley	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Spennymoor Town - Bradford Park Avenue	3:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
31.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	2:1
19.03.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	1:2
09.10.21	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	0:0
14.11.20	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	4:4
08.02.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Gloucester City	1:2
English FA Trophy
24.11.19	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2
English National League North
19.10.19	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0

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