Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Brackley Town		Burnley U21

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.95	4.45
	1.65	4.04	4.38
	1.91	3.76	3.35	Watch
	1.69	3.78	4.16
	1.63	3.8	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.96)	3.87 ↑ (3.68)	4.12 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
54%

Draw
23.7%

Burnley U21
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

23.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brackley Town's performance.

Burnley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burnley U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Brackley Town - Burnley U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brackley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Gregory C. (G) 8. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. 3. Calder R. 17. Donawa J. 27. Hall C. 31. Haynes R. 2. Lyttle T. 5. Morrison K. 28. Newton D. 24. Stewart C.	1. Cooney O. (G) 5. Ashton J. 8. Brierley G. 2. Campbell M. 7. Clark E. 16. Johnson Z. 10. Masara V. 3. Pimlott O. 11. Pouani B. 15. Veevers C. 4. Williams J.
Substitutes
. Dean G. 1. Maxted J. (G) 12. Nottingham M. 9. Okafor M. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M. 14. Waldron D.	. Balogun H. 9. Bevan J. . Grant B. . Grimshaw H. . Tweedy T. 17. Wetshi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Stewart C. ⚽, Newton D. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Hall C. ⚽, Byrne S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Byrne S. ↓, Price J. ↑,
46', Hall C. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
62', Haynes R. ↓, Nottingham M. ↑,
62', Brown Z. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
63', Newton D. ↓, Okafor M. ↑,
64', Johnson Z. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
64', Masara V. ↓, Tweedy T. ↑,
76', Clark E. ↓, Balogun H. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Bevan J. ⚽,
82', Pouani B. ↓, Wetshi B. ↑,
82', Pimlott O. ↓, Grant B. ↑,
87', Veevers C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Burnley U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brackley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.58%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
22.11.25	Brackley Town - York City	2:3 ✺
18.11.25	Morecambe - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Altrincham - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Brackley Town - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Burnley U21
English Premier League Cup
20.11.25	Burnley U21 - Queens Park Rangers U21	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
08.11.25	Newcastle United U21 - Burnley U21	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Burnley U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Norwich City U21 - Burnley U21	1:4 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Tamworth - Burnley U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL

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