Match Info

National League - Round 20

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		York City

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.38
	6.5	4.75	1.41
	5.5	4.34	1.5
	5.45	4.23	1.52	Watch
	7.19	4.45	1.42
	5.33	4.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↑ (5.45)	4.38 ↑ (4.23)	1.46 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
15.1%

Draw
21.2%

York City
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

21.9%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Brackley Town - York City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 5. Dean G. 6. Morrison K. 17. Donawa J. 12. Nottingham M. 4. Price J. 23. Byrne S. 31. Haynes R. 11. Lowe M. 27. Hall C. 10. Roberts M.	1. Male H. (G) 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 2. Fallowfield R. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 18. Batty D. 22. Olley G. 30. Newby A. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
3. Calder R. 21. Gregory C. (G) 2. Lyttle T. 9. Newton D. 7. Pollock S. 24. Stewart C. 14. Waldron D.	21. Boateng H. 14. Brookes B. 36. Farrar B. 12. Grey J. 17. Hewitt C. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Olley G. ⚽, Kitching M. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Roberts M. ⚽, Morrison K. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Nottingham M. ⚽, Haynes R. (A),
41', 2 - 2, Stones J. ⚽, Newby A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Haynes R. 🟨,
56', Hunt A. 🟨,
68', Hall C. ↓, Newton D. ↑,
68', Olley G. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
68', Felix J. ↓, Grey J. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Pearce O. ⚽,
79', Haynes R. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
80', Price J. ↓, Pollock S. ↑,
80', Donawa J. ↓, Calder R. ↑,
80', Newby A. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
85', Roberts M. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 2.

Brackley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

York is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

York may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, York is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brackley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
18.11.25	Morecambe - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Altrincham - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Brackley Town - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Brackley Town - Notts County	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLLWW
- York City
English National League
15.11.25	York City - Morecambe	4:2 ✺
11.11.25	York City - Rochdale	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	York City - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Barnsley - York City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.05.22	Brackley Town - York City	0:1
09.04.22	Brackley Town - York City	1:0
28.08.21	York City - Brackley Town	1:2
17.10.20	York City - Brackley Town	0:0
10.08.19	York City - Brackley Town	1:0
22.12.18	York City - Brackley Town	2:1
25.08.18	Brackley Town - York City	0:0

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