Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 39

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Buxton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.92	3.5	3.65
	1.9	3.42	3.84
	1.93	3.51	3.82	Watch
	1.89	3.46	3.78
	1.92	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	3.72 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
48.6%

Draw
26.7%

Buxton
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Brackley Town - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Ogwuru D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Brackley in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Buxton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brackley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
11.03.25	King`s Lynn Town - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Brackley Town - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Darlington - Brackley Town	2:4 ✺
25.02.25	Brackley Town - Rushall Olympic	6:1 ✺
22.02.25	Brackley Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWW
- Buxton FC
English National League North
11.03.25	Buxton - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Oxford City - Buxton	0:7 ✺
01.03.25	Buxton - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Hereford - Buxton	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.11.24	Buxton - Brackley Town	0:2
27.01.24	Buxton - Brackley Town	0:0
12.08.23	Brackley Town - Buxton	2:1
22.04.23	Buxton - Brackley Town	3:1
22.10.22	Brackley Town - Buxton	2:0

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