Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 17

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	8
	1.32	4.4	8
	1.32	4.5	8.2
	1.32	4.73	9.41
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.3	4.7	9
	1.32	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.58)	4.42 ↑ (3.53)	8.04 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
67.8%

Draw
20.8%

Kettering Town
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brackley Town's performance.

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kettering Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brackley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Brackley Town - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 2.

Brackley in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kettering is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Brackley is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Brackley to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
01.11.22	Brackley Town - Peterborough Sports	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Brackley Town - Boston United	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Brackley Town - Buxton	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Darlington - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWT
- Kettering Town
English National League North
01.11.22	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Kettering Town - Blyth Spartans	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Farsley - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	Chester - Kettering Town	4:0 ✺
15.10.22	Kettering Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.01.22	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	1:0
02.01.22	Kettering Town - Brackley Town	3:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	2:1
English National League North
02.01.21	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	1:1
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	Brackley Town walkover
English National League North
01.01.20	Brackley Town - Kettering Town	1:1

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