Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Kettering Town		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.78
	4	3.5	1.74
	4	3.55	1.75
	4.28	3.54	1.78
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	4.15	3.54	1.76
	4	3.55	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.05)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	1.82 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kettering Town
23.4%

Draw
26.3%

Spennymoor Town
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kettering Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kettering Town's form might have worsened.

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spennymoor Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kettering Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spennymoor Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Kettering Town - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kettering will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Spennymoor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Recent matches Kettering is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spennymoor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Spennymoor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spennymoor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kettering won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kettering won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kettering Town
English National League North
08.10.22	Scarborough Athletic - Kettering Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	King`s Lynn Town - Kettering Town	6:1 ✺
English National League North
27.09.22	Kettering Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Kettering Town - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Barwell - Kettering Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLW
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
08.10.22	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	0:1 ✺
27.09.22	Fylde - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
13.09.22	Spennymoor Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
03.09.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.03.22	Spennymoor Town - Kettering Town	2:1
25.09.21	Kettering Town - Spennymoor Town	1:2
11.01.20	Spennymoor Town - Kettering Town	1:2
12.10.19	Kettering Town - Spennymoor Town	0:2

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