Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Brackley Town		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	3.6
	1.73	3.3	4.2
	1.78	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.47	4.35
	1.76	3.57	4.61	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4
	1.8	3.38	4.32
	1.78	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.2)	3.53 ↓ (3.56)	4.26 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
52.2%

Draw
26.1%

Leamington
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brackley Town's performance.

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brackley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Brackley Town - Leamington Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Byrne S. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 2 - 1, Timmy ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Leamington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
21.12.24	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
17.12.24	Brackley Town - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Brackley Town - Chester	2:1 ✺
10.12.24	Scarborough Athletic - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Stockport County - Brackley Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL
- Leamington
English National League North
21.12.24	Leamington - Curzon Ashton	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Leamington - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
English National League North
30.11.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Leamington	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Leamington - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.03.23	Brackley Town - Leamington	1:2
06.12.22	Leamington - Brackley Town	0:0
15.04.22	Leamington - Brackley Town	0:0
30.08.21	Brackley Town - Leamington	2:1
01.12.20	Leamington - Brackley Town	1:1
06.08.19	Leamington - Brackley Town	2:0
01.01.19	Leamington - Brackley Town	0:0

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