Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Leamington		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.35	2.08
	3.07	3.45	2.10
	3.04	3.65	2.14	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.07
	2.94	3.78	2.15
	2.95	3.50	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.54)	3.52 ↓ (3.58)	2.11 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leamington
30.7%

Draw
26%

Needham Market
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

25.2%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leamington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Leamington - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Miles R. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Wreh C. ⚽,
20', 1 - 2, Miles R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Morphew D. 🟥,
79', Wreh C. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 15th and 9th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Needham holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Leamington has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.5:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leamington against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Needham Market	14	7	3	4	29:20	9	24
20	Leamington	14	2	4	8	19:26	-7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Leamington - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leamington
English Southern League Central Division
13.10.26	Leamington - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Stratford Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Leamington - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
29.09.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leamington	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Quorn - Leamington	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWTL
- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
13.10.26	Bury Town - Needham Market	0:5 ✺
10.10.26	Needham Market - Anstey Nomads	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	5:3 ✺
29.09.26	Needham Market - Stamford	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Braintree Town - Needham Market	3:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.02.25	Needham Market - Leamington	1:1
26.11.24	Leamington - Needham Market	0:1
English Southern League Central Division
24.02.24	Leamington - Needham Market	0:1
05.12.23	Needham Market - Leamington	2:1

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