Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 19

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Leamington		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.66	3.6	5
	1.73	3.98	4.59
	1.69	3.81	4.72	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.63	3.68	5.09
	1.66	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)	4.72 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leamington
55.3%

Draw
25.2%

Needham Market
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

16.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leamington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Needham Market could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leamington - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Ingram L. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Leamington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leamington is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leamington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Leamington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leamington
English National League North
23.11.24	Leamington - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Leamington - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Chorley - Leamington	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Radcliffe - Leamington	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Leamington - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW
- Needham Market
English National League North
23.11.24	Marine - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Needham Market - Chester	0:1 ✺
05.11.24	Rushall Olympic - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Needham Market - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
24.02.24	Leamington - Needham Market	0:1
05.12.23	Needham Market - Leamington	2:1

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