Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 16

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Brackley Town		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	5
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.47	4.33	6	Watch
	1.48	4.29	6.44
	1.5	4.31	6.09	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.2	6.1
	1.47	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (2.01)	4.27 ↑ (3.53)	5.86 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
62.7%

Draw
21.6%

Warrington Town
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brackley Town's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brackley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Brackley Town - Warrington Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Brackley Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 17).

Brackley is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Warrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Brackley have a series of home games.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Brackley to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League North
26.10.24	Brackley Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Needham Market - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Brackley Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Brackley Town - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW
- Warrington Town
English National League North
02.11.24	Warrington Town - South Shields	0:3 ✺
26.10.24	Darlington - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Warrington Town - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Radcliffe - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
24.02.24	Warrington Town - Brackley Town	2:2
02.09.23	Brackley Town - Warrington Town	2:0
English FA Cup
05.10.19	Brackley Town - Warrington Town	2:0

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