Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 13

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Needham Market		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.83
	3.8	3.25	1.8
	4	3.4	1.87	Watch
	3.99	3.43	1.86
	3.85	3.46	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.91
	4.18	3.34	1.84
	4.2	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (3.96)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
23.3%

Draw
27.4%

Brackley Town
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.3%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

25.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Needham Market - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Newton D. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Hammond K. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Newton D. ⚽,
30', 1 - 3, Dean G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Needham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brackley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brackley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brackley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
19.10.24	Needham Market - Kidderminster Harriers	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Chorley - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Needham Market - South Shields	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oxford City - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Needham Market - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
19.10.24	Brackley Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Brackley Town - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
English National League North
05.10.24	Southport - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Brackley Town - Ramsgate	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTW

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