Match Info

National League - Round 29

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.6
	2.52	3.3	2.62
	2.74	3.25	2.66
	2.55	3.33	2.66	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.63
	2.57	3.04	2.55
	2.71	3.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.18)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	2.61 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
35.7%

Draw
29%

Hartlepool United
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brackley Town's performance.

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brackley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Brackley Town - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brackley Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Gregory C. (G) 2. Lyttle T. 5. Morrison K. 12. Nottingham M. 11. Lowe M. 8. Brown Z. 23. Byrne S. 22. Pendleton B. 7. Pollock S. 9. Newton D. 15. Wodskou B.	23. Hayes N. (G) 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 4. Parkes T. (C) 2. Benn J. 18. Miley J. 15. Hunter J. 14. Sheron N. 10. Campbell A. 19. Reid A. 11. Charman L.
Substitutes
20. Bamba Y. 27. Hall C. . Harratt K. 19. Lilly Z. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M. 13. Worby A. (G)	24. Brown P. 28. Daly M. 8. Ferguson N. 17. Folarin S. 9. Johnson D. 35. Nathaniel-George A. 40. Smith A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Wodskou B. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
57', Brown Z. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
60', Byrne S. 🟨,
72', Miley J. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
73', Campbell A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
73', Lowe M. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
74', Charman L. 🟨,
80', Pollock S. ↓, Price J. ↑,
83', Charman L. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
85', Price J. 🟨,
89', Reid A. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,
89', Hunter J. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
90+4', Sheron N. 🟨,
90+7', Bamba Y. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 9).

Brackley is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hartlepool's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Brackley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.39%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
20.01.26	Truro City - Brackley Town	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Brackley Town - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English National League
30.12.25	Boston United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Brackley Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWLWW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
20.01.26	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Woking - Hartlepool United	4:0 ✺
30.12.25	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.09.25	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	0:0
English FA Cup
15.10.24	Brackley Town - Hartlepool United	3:1
12.10.24	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	1:1
19.10.19	Hartlepool United - Brackley Town	1:0

Brackley Town - Hartlepool United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide