Match Info

National League - Round 18

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Silverlake Stadium (Eastleigh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eastleigh		York City

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.48
	5.5	4.55	1.47
	5.86	4.47	1.51
	4.20	3.80	1.74	Watch
	5.13	4.62	1.52
	4.2	3.7	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.11)	4.27 ↑ (3.72)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
18.7%

Draw
21.8%

York City
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

24.6%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

24%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Eastleigh - York City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 4. Humphries L. 6. Eweka T. 16. Pierre A. 27. Harris A. 15. Saunders H. 7. Evans K. 17. Lundstram J. 3. Vokins J. 19. Skinner L.	1. Male H. (G) 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. Howe C. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 18. Batty D. 28. Banks O. 14. Brookes B. 8. Hunt A. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.
Substitutes
40. Bamey S. 21. Davis S. 5. Fernandez L. 36. Jones E. 9. McCallum P. 22. McNamara J. (G) 18. Wariuh A.	25. Fadera M. 2. Fallowfield R. 17. Hewitt C. 33. Kettlewell E. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 16. Watson R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽, Banks O. (A),
32', Felix J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Skinner L. ⚽,
37', Lundstram J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Skinner L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Banks O. 🟨,
53', Batty D. 🟨,
69', Brookes B. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,
69', Felix J. ↓, Nathaniel-George A. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Pearce O. ⚽,
74', Skinner L. ↓, Davis S. ↑,
79', Kitching M. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Hewitt C. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
82', 2 - 4, Stones J. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
85', Brindley R. ↓, McCallum P. ↑,
86', Pearce O. ↓, Fadera M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 3.

Eastleigh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

York has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, York is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Eastleigh won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastleigh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
05.11.25	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Eastleigh - Walsall	0:3 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Eastleigh - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Eastleigh - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Boreham Wood - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- York City
English National League
05.11.25	York City - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Barnsley - York City	3:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Halifax Town - York City	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	York City - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.05.25	Eastleigh - York City	0:2
28.09.24	York City - Eastleigh	0:0
06.04.24	York City - Eastleigh	0:1
21.10.23	Eastleigh - York City	3:1
28.02.23	Eastleigh - York City	1:0
20.08.22	York City - Eastleigh	0:1
04.03.17	York City - Eastleigh	3:1

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