Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	York City		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.5
	1.92	3.7	3.4
	1.96	3.85	3.53
	1.90	3.89	3.42	Watch
	1.9	3.56	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)	3.74 ↓ (3.89)	3.45 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
48.4%

Draw
24.8%

Rochdale
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	17.6%	35.3%

York City - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Rochdale will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rochdale (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. Howe C. (C) 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 18. Batty D. 14. Brookes B. 28. Banks O. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 33. Beckwith S. 4. East R. 8. Gilmour H. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 10. Rodney D. 30. Berkoe K. 38. Smith T. 9. Dieseruvwe E.
Substitutes
21. Boateng H. 2. Fallowfield R. 17. Hewitt C. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 30. Newby A. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 40. Henderson I. 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Berkoe K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Kitching M. (A),
38', Smith T. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Adebayo-Rowling T. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 2 - 1, Stones J. ⚽,
49', 3 - 1, Stones J. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽, Fagan-Walcott M. (A),
60', Berkoe K. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
60', Gilmour H. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
67', Stones J. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
67', Brookes B. ↓, Boateng H. ↑,
75', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
75', Rodney D. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
79', Kitching M. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
79', Banks O. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
81', Pettit C. 🟨,
84', Pearce O. ↓, Nathaniel-George A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

York could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, York won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	York City - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Barnsley - York City	3:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Halifax Town - York City	1:1 ✺
21.10.25	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLTT
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
08.11.25	Boston United - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
28.10.25	Rochdale - Manchester United U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Woking - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Rochdale - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2
English National League
25.03.25	Rochdale - York City	0:4
20.08.24	York City - Rochdale	1:0
16.12.23	Rochdale - York City	0:0
28.08.23	York City - Rochdale	1:3
English League Two
05.04.14	Rochdale - York City	0:0
30.11.13	York City - Rochdale	0:0

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