Match Info

National League South - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Meadow (Chesham)


	Chesham United		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.78	3.15	2.42
	2.78	3.21	2.46
	2.8	3.28	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.7	3.13	2.39
	2.54	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)	3.11 ↓ (3.43)	2.4 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesham United
33.2%

Draw
29.1%

Maidstone United
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.2%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-2%)

Chesham United - Maidstone United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Maidstone (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maidstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Yearn K. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Yearn K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 2 - 1, Yila J. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Yearn K. ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Yearn K. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 2, Pattisson C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 8).

Chesham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maidstone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chesham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chesham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Chesham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16:19	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Chesham United - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesham United
English National League South
17.03.26	Chesham United - Totton	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Torquay United - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chesham United - Weston-super-Mare	4:0 ✺
03.03.26	Worthing - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLT
- Maidstone United
English National League South
14.03.26	Maidstone United - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Maidstone United - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Maidenhead United - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Salisbury - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.10.25	Maidstone United - Chesham United	0:0
18.01.25	Chesham United - Maidstone United	2:0
21.09.24	Maidstone United - Chesham United	2:2
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chesham United - Maidstone United	0:2

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