Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Cray Wanderers		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.85
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.3	3.83	1.93
	3.6	3.75	1.8
	3.48	3.74	1.9
	3.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.58)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	1.88 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
26.7%

Draw
24.8%

Chesham United
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

25.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Cray Wanderers - Chesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cray is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cray have a series of guest games.

Chesham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Potters Bar Town - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Needham Market - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.10.23	Concord Rangers - Cray Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLWW
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Chesham United - Hendon	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Poole Town - Chesham United	2:5 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Chesham United - Braintree Town	3:1 ET ✺
14.10.23	Braintree Town - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.10.23	Chesham United - Didcot Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTT

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