Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Bradford City		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	1.87	3.4	4
	2	3.4	3.85
	1.92	3.35	3.8
	1.96	3.54	4.13
	1.88	3.4	3.8
	1.99	3.7	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.76)	3.47 ↓ (3.79)	3.91 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
48.7%

Draw
27.2%

Bristol Rovers
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

16.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford City's form might have worsened.

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bradford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bristol Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bradford City - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 16).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bradford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bristol Rovers have a series of home games.

Bradford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bradford won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League Two
09.10.21	Newport County - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
02.10.21	Bradford City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Crawley Town - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.09.21	Bradford City - Manchester United U21	0:3 ✺
English League Two
18.09.21	Bradford City - Barrow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLLT
- Bristol Rovers
English EFL Trophy
13.10.21	Bristol Rovers - Chelsea U21	1:2 ✺
English League Two
09.10.21	Bristol Rovers - Carlisle United	3:0 ✺
02.10.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	1:3 ✺
25.09.21	Walsall - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.04.19	Bristol Rovers - Bradford City	3:2
29.09.18	Bradford City - Bristol Rovers	0:0
20.01.18	Bristol Rovers - Bradford City	3:1
02.09.17	Bradford City - Bristol Rovers	3:1
11.02.17	Bristol Rovers - Bradford City	1:1
17.09.16	Bradford City - Bristol Rovers	1:1
English League Two
09.04.13	Bradford City - Bristol Rovers	4:1

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