The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Walsall 37.3%
Draw 30.5%
Bristol Rovers 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
28.5%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
26.7%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walsall's form might have worsened.
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walsall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Walsall - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts M. (G) 5. Burke H. 4. Flint A. (C) 30. Weir E. 2. Barrett C. 29. Finnigan R. 28. Warrington L. 8. Lakin C. 18. Harper V. 19. Pressley A. 15. Kanu D.
1. Southwood L. (G) 23. Southam-Hales M. 35. Lopata K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 3. Sparkes J. 27. Bilongo B. 20. McEachran J. 29. Cavegn F. 24. Chang A. 11. Thomas L. 19. Harrison E.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 17. Clarke C. 14. Comley B. 6. Farquharson P. 12. Hornby S. (G) 22. Jellis J. 9. Matt J.
22. Conteh K. 43. Dewsbury O. 30. Issaka F. 6. Mola C. 4. Moore T. 2. Senior J. 10. Sotiriou R.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.
Clarke D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Chang A. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, Harrison E. (A),
39', Harrison E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Warrington L. ↓, Comley B. ↑,
46', Finnigan R. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
57', Burke H. ↓, Farquharson P. ↑,
65', Lakin C. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
67', McEachran J. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Pressley A. ⚽, Harper V. (A),
75', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
77', Bilongo B. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Pressley A. ⚽, Barrett C. (A),
83', Sparkes J. 🟨,
84', Clarke C. 🟨,
87', Harrison E. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
87', Thomas L. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
90+3', Weir E. 🟨,
90+10', Comley B. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 1.
Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
Walsall could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Walsall: Hancock M.
(Knee Injury)
Williams H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Walsall: Jellis J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Howley R.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
Young B.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Walsall won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Walsall - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Roberts M. (G) 
Weir E. 
Harper V. 
Pressley A. 
Kanu D. 
Southwood L. (G) 
Southam-Hales M. 
Lopata K. 
Cavegn F. 
Adomah A. 
Comley B. 
Matt J. 
Sotiriou R. 
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