Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 32

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)


	Newport County		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.9	3.89	1.74
	4.76	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.75
	4.5	3.74	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.56)	3.77 ↑ (3.64)	1.74 (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
20.5%

Draw
25.1%

Bradford City
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.7%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

24.8%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Newport County have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Newport County - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bradford will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 26. Evans C. 5. Clarke J. (C) 4. Baker M. 12. Thomas J. 19. McLoughlin S. 11. Antwi C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 44. Ajiboye D. 7. Kamwa B. 9. Baker-Richardson C.	1. Walker S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 20. Huntington P. 24. Shepherd J. 2. Halliday B. 10. Sarcevic A. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 45. Adaramola T. 37. Leigh T. 23. Pointon B. 26. Mellon M.
Substitutes
37. Bony G. 23. Jameson K. 8. Martin J. 38. Patten K. 21. Spellman M. 32. Warner J. 36. Webb L. (G)	30. Crichlow-Noble R. 25. Hilton J. (G) 22. Johnson C. 11. Khela B. 32. Lapslie G. 16. Pattison A. 7. Walker J.
Coaches
Jardim N.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Shepherd J. 🟥,
25', Pointon B. ↓, Crichlow-Noble R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thomas J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
66', Ajiboye D. ↓, Bony G. ↑,
76', Mellon M. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
86', Adaramola T. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
86', Kamwa B. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
87', Evans C. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
90+1', Leigh T. 🟨,
90+4', Clarke J. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
90+6', Walker S. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 0.

Newport in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bradford is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Bradford is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Newport County - the odds 4.56 are the expected chance of winning is 20.52%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
11.02.25	Newport County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Crewe Alexandra - Newport County	0:3 ✺
04.02.25	Newport County - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Newport County - Barrow	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Salford City - Newport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 WWWWT
- Bradford City
English League Two
11.02.25	Bradford City - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Bradford City - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.02.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
01.02.25	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Bradford City - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.10.24	Bradford City - Newport County	3:1
27.04.24	Bradford City - Newport County	4:1
23.09.23	Newport County - Bradford City	1:4
11.03.23	Newport County - Bradford City	1:1
13.08.22	Bradford City - Newport County	2:0
26.03.22	Bradford City - Newport County	0:0
09.10.21	Newport County - Bradford City	0:0

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