Match Info

League Two - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.63	3.70	4.20
	1.6	3.85	4.9
	1.67	4.22	5
	1.63	4.19	4.58	Watch
	1.64	3.9	4.75
	1.6	4.05	4.82	Watch
	1.58	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	4 ↑ (3.99)	4.73 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
57.3%

Draw
23.1%

Swindon Town
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Bristol Rovers (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young B. (G) 4. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 17. Kelly C. 2. James T. 6. Mola C. 21. Smallwood R. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 9. Quigley J.	1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Clark M. 21. Majekodunmi K. 16. Inwood S. 26. Butler D. 24. Virtue M. 25. Thomson J. 6. Ball J. 7. Nichols T. 23. Drinan A. (C) 19. Snowdon J.
Substitutes
28. Appiah A. 32. Binns C. (G) 22. Gough K. 10. Kamwa B. 14. Purrington B. 8. Russell-Denny R. 27. Sanyaolu P.	18. Debayo J. 29. Hackford A. 15. Hungbo J. 34. Kirkman B. 33. McGregor J. 39. Millard L. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Evans S.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Inwood S. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
37', Balmer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Cavegn F. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
63', Smallwood R. ↓, Gough K. ↑,
64', Snowdon J. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
64', Nichols T. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
71', Kamwa B. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
76', Majekodunmi K. 🟨,
83', Clark M. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
84', Virtue M. ↓, Debayo J. ↑,
90+3', Butler D. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 16th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.

Bristol Rovers has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Swindon has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bristol Rovers carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Bristol Rovers: Aitchison J. (Inactive) Harbottle R. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Swindon: Holman F. (Inactive) Kilkenny G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Injury) Middlemas B. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive) Smith H. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Tafazolli R. (Inactive).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Bristol Rovers has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:19 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol Rovers against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Swindon	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16
15	Bristol Rovers	13	5	1	7	16:20	-4	16

Outrights of English League Two for now

Bristol Rovers: 8.1% Swindon: 1.77%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
20.10.26	Bristol Rovers - Salford City	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Bristol Rovers - Barnet	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	4:1 ✺
English League Two
03.10.26	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Swindon Town
English League Two
20.10.26	Barnet - Swindon Town	1:3 ✺
17.10.26	Swindon Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Rochdale - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.02.26	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1
13.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:3
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0
18.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	3:0
English League Two
22.01.22	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1
02.10.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	1:3
English League One
23.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:1

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