Match Info

League Two - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bristol Rovers		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.5	2.2
	3.05	3.35	2.22	Watch
	3.14	3.45	2.29
	2.88	3.57	2.26	Watch
	3	3.25	2.25
	2.96	3.3	2.31	Watch
	3	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.97)	3.38 ↓ (3.48)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
31.3%

Draw
27.6%

Swindon Town
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bristol Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Swindon (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Swindon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 12. Lockyer T. 35. Lopata K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 14. Cotterill J. 22. Conteh K. 24. Chang A. 6. Mola C. 7. Forde S. 29. Cavegn F. 10. Sotiriou R.	1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Ball J. 22. Knight-Lebel J. 3. Mabete F. 19. Snowdon J. 18. Kilkenny G. 8. Clarke O. (C) 7. Nichols T. 26. Munroe F. 28. Palmer O. 23. Drinan A.
Substitutes
43. Dewsbury O. 25. Howley R. 4. Moore T. 39. Morton C. 3. Sparkes J. 11. Thomas L. 13. Young B. (G)	31. Bodin B. 9. Glatzel P. 33. McGregor J. 44. Oldaker D. 11. Tabor J. 12. Ward L. (G) 5. Wright W.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Snowdon J. ⚽,
27', Forde S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Drinan A. ⚽, Snowdon J. (A),
34', Drinan A. 🟨,
36', Lopata K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cavegn F. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
46', Forde S. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
46', Arnaoutis A. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
58', Drinan A. 🟨,
65', Cotterill J. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
68', Palmer O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
68', Mabete F. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
76', Kilgour A. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
77', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
77', Nichols T. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
80', Ball J. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.

Recent form of Bristol Rovers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Swindon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Swindon has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury) Senior J. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Swindon: Glatzel P. (Inactive) Tafazolli R. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Swindon Town - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.03%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
09.12.25	Barnet - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Port Vale - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Notts County	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Swindon Town
English League Two
09.12.25	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Swindon Town - Bolton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Swindon Town - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Chesterfield - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0
18.10.22	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	3:0
English League Two
22.01.22	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1
02.10.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	1:3
English League One
23.03.21	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	0:1
21.11.20	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0
English EFL Trophy
13.11.19	Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town	1:0

Upcoming Matches