The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bradford City 55.7%
Draw 24.8%
Burton Albion 19.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
25%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
23.9%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
The chances for Burton Albion have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Bradford City - Burton Albion Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bradford City will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bradford City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walker S. (G) 28. Pennington M. 4. Wright J. 18. Kelly C. 7. Neufville J. 6. Power M. (C) 20. Leigh T. 3. Touray I. 23. Pointon B. 8. Kavanagh C. 11. Humphrys S.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 6. Sibbick T. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 3. Armer J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
5. Byrne N. 9. Cook A. 2. Halliday B. 25. Hilton J. (G) 21. Metcalfe J. 16. Pattison A. 17. Wright T.
14. Akoto N. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 22. Larsson J. 18. Moon J. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F.
Coaches
Alexander G.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
32', Pennington M. 🟨,
35', Armer J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Webster C. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
45+3', Pointon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kavanagh C. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
61', Touray I. ↓, Wright T. ↑,
61', Leigh T. ↓, Metcalfe J. ↑,
72', Wright J. ↓, Pattison A. ↑,
75', Hartridge A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Pointon B. (Pen),
84', Beesley J. 🟨,
88', Kelly C. ↓, Byrne N. ↑,
90+1', Chauke K. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 2.
In recent matches, Bradford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Burton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bradford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bradford is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Bradford: Baldwin A.
(Calf Injury)
Pointon B.
(Inactive)
Tilt C.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
McKiernan J. J.
(Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
Williams D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Larsson J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bradford won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 4.73 are the expected chance of winning is 19.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.